Both Democrats and Republicans are more likely to move to states that reflect their political views, indicating that self-segregation along ideological lines may increase parties’ political advantages in former swing states over the coming years.
More than a quarter of people in the United States, 30%, have considered moving out of state in the past six months, citing racial equality, lower taxes, LGBT protections, and more as reasons for moving, according to a new poll from Ipsos/Axios. Those considering a move are more likely to relocate to states where their preferred political parties are in power, the poll found.
More than half of Democrats, 55%, said they would consider moving to a state that better reflects their political values, and just slightly below 58% of Republicans said the same, according to the poll.
Forty-eight percent of Democrats said they are more likely to move to a blue state than a red state (25%) or a swing state (27%), while 51% of Republicans are more likely to move to a red state than a blue state (20%) or a swing state (28%), the poll found.
Overall, 38% of people who said they are considering a move would go to a red state, compared to 34% who would move to a blue state and 28% to a swing state.
Many voters said they want to move somewhere they believe their votes would “count” more, with 38% saying that would be their No. 1 motivator.
Politics may be posing as a stronger dividing force than either religion or race, and a majority, 45%, said they believe people with opposing political views don’t share similar values, an earlier survey indicated. Democrats are more likely to hold that belief than Republicans, with 54% on the Left echoing those sentiments compared to just 45% on the Right.
The Ipsos/Axios poll surveyed 1,006 adults nationwide between July 27-28, 2022, and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.8 percentage points.