Home Sports Cowboys vs. Giants odds, spread, line: Monday Night Football picks, predictions from NFL model on 139-102 roll

Cowboys vs. Giants odds, spread, line: Monday Night Football picks, predictions from NFL model on 139-102 roll

by Atlanta Business Journal

The surprising New York Giants will try to remain unbeaten when they host the Dallas Cowboys in an NFC East showdown on Monday Night Football. The Giants (2-0) have won their games by a combined four points, but they bring confidence into this rivalry matchup after they went 4-13 last season. The Cowboys were left for dead after quarterback Dak Prescott was knocked out with a hand injury that required surgery. But backup Cooper Rush and a sturdy defense led Dallas to a 20-17 victory against the Cincinnati Bengals last Sunday. The Giants edged the Carolina Panthers 19-16 last Sunday behind a defense that shut down Baker Mayfield’s passing attack. The Cowboys swept the two games last season, winning 44-20 at home in October and taking a 21-6 victory at MetLife in December.   

Kickoff is set for 8:15 p.m. ET at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, N.J. Caesars Sportsbook lists New York as a 1-point favorite in its latest Cowboys vs. Giants odds, and the over/under for total points scored is 39. Before you lock in any Giants vs. Cowboys picks, you have to check out the NFL predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up more than $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 3 of the 2022 NFL season on an incredible 139-102 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, the model has broken down Monday’s Cowboys vs. Giants matchup and just locked in its picks and MNF predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are the NFL odds and betting lines for Giants vs. Cowboys:  

  • Cowboys vs. Giants spread: New York -1 
  • Cowboys vs. Giants over/under: 39 points 
  • Cowboys vs. Giants money line: Dallas -105, New York -115 
  • DAL: Cowboys were 8-1 ATS on the road last season 
  • NYG: Giants were 3-5 ATS in their 2021 home games 
  • Cowboys vs. Giants picks: See picks here

Featured Game | New York Giants vs. Dallas Cowboys

Why the Giants can cover

The favorite is 7-3 against the spread in the past seven meetings, and Dallas’ offense is likely to have its share of trouble with Cooper Rush at the helm. He has played in nine career games, so he could have trouble in a hostile environment, and New York’s defense will harass him. The Giants have blitzed almost 24 percent of the time, fifth-most in the league, and hurried the QB on 8.5 percent of dropbacks, seventh-most. Dallas has allowed five sacks in 2022, and its QBs were knocked down on 11 percent of dropbacks in 2021 (fourth-most).

Dallas is averaging 11.5 points (31st in the NFL), while New York’s defense allows 18 per contest (ninth). The Giants are yielding 317 yards per game (12th), while the Dallas offense averages 290 (26th). Opponents have converted five of 23 third-down attempts, a 21.7 percent rate that is the best in the NFL. New York running back Saquon Barkley will try to put up a game like he did in Week 1, when he rushed for 164 yards against the Titans. Dallas is yielding more than 120 per game (18th), and the Cowboys allowed 4.5 per carry in 2021.        

Why the Cowboys can cover

Dallas is 8-2 ATS in the past 10 meetings, covering in both in 2021, and has won nine of the 10 outright. Rush had a strong 2022 debut in place of Prescott, completing 19 of 31 passes for 235 yards, a touchdown and no interceptions. Tony Pollard had 98 total yards and a score, and young star CeeDee Lamb had seven catches for 75 yards. Rush showed chemistry with Noah Brown, who had five catches for a team-high 91 yards and a score against the Bengals. The Cowboys also still have Ezekiel Elliott, who has almost 7,500 career rushing yards.     

The defense has been the key, and likely will continue to be with Prescott on the shelf. The unit is allowing 300 yards per game (sixth in NFL) on the strength of a pass defense yielding 180 (also sixth). The Cowboys are second in the NFL with eight sacks and allow just 4.7 yards per play (sixth). They have just one takeaway, but they led the NFL with 34 in 2021 and had a plus-14 turnover margin (T-1). Giants QB Daniel Jones has been sacked eight times and has one interception after going down 22 times and throwing seven picks in 11 games last season.

How to make Cowboys vs. Giants picks

The model has broken down Monday night’s Giants vs. Cowboys matchup from all angles. It is leaning Over on the point total, suggesting both teams will find success in the running games. The model also says one side has all the value. You can only get the model’s MNF picks at SportsLine.

So who wins Giants vs. Cowboys on Monday Night Football? And which side of the spread has all the value? Visit SportsLine right now to find out which side of the Giants vs. Cowboys spread you should be all over Monday, all from the model on a 139-102 roll on its top-rated NFL picks, and find out.

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